Over the next 10 days, Ho Chi Minh City’s weather will be influenced by a combination of a weakening cold air mass and a developing low-pressure system in the East Sea, leading to possible unseasonal rainfall across the region.

According to the Southern Regional Hydrometeorological Center, temperatures in Ho Chi Minh City on February 11 are expected to peak at 32-33°C, with some outer districts such as Can Gio, Nha Be, Cu Chi, Hoc Mon, and Binh Chanh likely to experience scattered showers.

Unseasonal showers expected in the coming days

Meteorologists predict that unseasonal rain will become more widespread on February 12-13, with a 55-60% chance of precipitation before tapering off on February 14.

Weather conditions in Ho Chi Minh City from February 11-20 will be shaped by:

A weakening cold air mass moving eastward

A developing low-pressure system in the East Sea, possibly strengthening into a tropical depression

An easterly wind disturbance expected to influence the region by mid-February

Rainfall in Ho Chi Minh City is expected to be scattered from February 11-13 due to the combined influence of cold air and the tropical system. A second wave of rain may occur from February 17-20 due to easterly wind disturbances moving inland.

For the remainder of the forecast period, dry weather is expected to dominate.

Temperature trends and rainfall outlook

Overall, temperatures are forecast to increase slightly compared to the previous week.

Daytime highs: 31-35°C

Nighttime lows: 21-25°C

Total weekly rainfall: 10-50mm, close to historical averages

Over coastal waters near Ho Chi Minh City, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected, with strong gusts and possible waterspouts. Wind speeds will vary:

Early in the week: Variable winds at force 4-5

Late in the week: Northeast winds at force 4-5

Tropical system developing in the southern East Sea

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, as of 1 PM on February 11, a low-pressure system in the southern East Sea was centered at 9.5-10.5°N latitude and 112.5-113.5°E longitude.

Forecast for the next 24 hours:

The system is expected to move slowly northwestward.

It could intensify into a tropical depression, increasing the likelihood of rough seas and strong winds.

Impacts on regional weather:

The central and southern East Sea, including the Spratly Islands and coastal waters from Binh Dinh to Ninh Thuan, will experience scattered thunderstorms.

Some storms may produce waterspouts and wind gusts of force 6-7.

Authorities are closely monitoring the situation, advising fishermen and maritime operators to stay informed of potential developments.

Bao Anh