Nguyen Duc Hoa, Deputy Director of the Climate Forecasting Department at the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, stated that from October 11 to November 10, the average temperature across Vietnam is expected to be 0.5-1 degree Celsius higher than the long-term average for this period.
Extreme weather phenomena, including storms, tropical depressions, cold fronts, lightning, and tornadoes, are likely to occur more frequently during this period.
In detail, rainfall in the Eastern Northern Region and North Central Region is expected to be near the average for many years, while in the Western Northern Region, Central and South-Central Regions, Central Highlands, and Southern Vietnam, rainfall is expected to be 10-30% higher than the long-term average. Especially in the Central Region, there is a high probability of widespread heavy rains. Thunderstorms across the country may be accompanied by lightning, hail, and strong winds.
Mr. Hoa also noted that in the next month, the likelihood of storms or tropical depressions in the East Sea and affecting Vietnam is expected to be near or slightly above average compared to previous years (the long-term average is 1.9 storms in the East Sea and 0.8 making landfall).
Cold fronts during this forecast period are expected to increase in frequency and intensity.
Soon, according to the meteorological agency, cold air will return on October 13 and again on October 19-20. From October 14-16, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the northern mountainous and midland regions due to the interaction between cold air and upper-level wind convergence. The Central and South-Central Regions, as well as the Central Highlands and Southern Vietnam, will also experience scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Dr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, predicted that from November to December, temperatures in the Northern Region and the Northern and Central part of the Central Regions will decrease slightly, about 0.5 degrees lower than normal.
By the end of December, the Northern Region may experience prolonged cold spells, similar to previous years. Cold air will continue to increase in frequency during January and February 2025, bringing severe cold and frost to the northern provinces, with the possibility of snow and ice in the mountainous areas.
Weather forecast for October 14-18:
Northern Vietnam:
- From October 14-18: Isolated rain, scattered morning fog; partly sunny in the afternoon. From October 14-16, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the northern mountainous and midland areas.
Central Vietnam:
- North Central Region: Isolated rain, scattered morning fog.
- Central part of the Central Region: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with isolated heavy rain on October 14-15.
- South Central Region: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, with scattered rain in the afternoon and evening.
Central Highlands and Southern Vietnam:
- From October 13-18: Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, with isolated heavy rain in the Southern Central Highlands and Southern Vietnam.
Water levels on rivers in the Central Highlands are expected to change slowly. Water levels on rivers in Southern Vietnam will fluctuate with the tides.
Hanoi:
- From October 13-18: Isolated rain, scattered morning fog; partly sunny in the afternoon.
It is important to note that thunderstorms in these areas may bring tornadoes, lightning, and strong winds.
In addition, from October 13-18, waves in the northern East Sea will range from 2-3 meters, with rough seas. Along the coast from Quang Tri to Binh Thuan, waves will range from 1.5-2.5 meters from October 13-15, decreasing to 1-2 meters after. In other areas, waves will generally be less than 2 meters.
The meteorological agency also warned that from October 17-22, tidal levels along the southeastern coast will remain high. High tides in the early morning and late afternoon will increase the risk of flooding in low-lying coastal areas and along rivers in the southeastern region, and could slow down flood drainage in the event of flooding on the Mekong River.
Bao Anh